Multiple Cash Flows

Now we will get into the heart of the fundamental conversion factors that will help us to analyze difficult problems later in the class.

Present-Worth Factor (Single Payment)


Now let's find a Present (P) value knowing a Future (F) value. This would pose the question :
How much money need I put away, now (P) at i for N periods to have F?

P = F(P/F, i , N)

P(1 + i)N = F => P = F(1/(1 + i)N) = F(1 / (F/P , i ,N))

Hence (P/F, i , N) = (1 / (F/P , i ,N))

For our previous example, if you needed $1610 in 5 yrs, what amount would you need to put away now at 10% compounded annually?

P = 1610(P/F, 10,5)
   =  1610(0.6209)= $1000
    
Note that : (F/P, i , N)(P/F, i , N) = 1
     
Try with    i = 8%          N = 10 yrs       
             
(F/P, i , N) (P/F, i , N) = (2.159)(0.4632) = 1.000

Multiple Cash Flows

What happens if we have additional payments between Time 0 and the end of the time line?     

Example: How much money will I have in 5 yrs if I deposit $500 now & $600 after 2 yrs if  i = 6%/year?

       F = F500 + F600
          = P0(F/P, i,N) + P2(F/P, i,N) 
          = 500(F/P, 6,5) + 600(F/P,6,3) 
          = 500(1.338) + 600(1.191)
          = $669 + $714.60 = $1383.60 

Note that even though the $600 deposit occurs 2 years in the future, it is treated as a P when standing at end of year 2.

We could have used a Two-Step process, to find the the value of P 0 at N=2, add it to the $600 and find the equivalence of that sum at N = 5. 
                 
 F2 = 500(F/P, 6,2) + 600 = 1162     
 F5 = 1162(F/P, 6,3)   = $1383.94(Rounding) 

In the real world 

Thus, factors considering regular payments must be developed and used for analysis purposes.

Series Compound Amount Factor (Uniform Series)

Let's look at a series of identical payments over several years.
 
How much money do we get in N periods at i % with a payment of A per period?
                 F = A(F/A, i, N) 

Look at A = $100 / yr  for N = 5 yrs

Year                Amount at end year
  1                   100
  2                   100 + 100(1 + 0.1)
  3                   100 + 100(1.1) + 100(1.1)2
  4                     ...................
  5                   100 + 100(1.1) + 100(1.1)+ 100(1.1)3 + 100(1.1)4
       

This would result in the following :
        F = A((1 + i)N-1) / i = A(F/A, i, N)                      

In our example above the total at the end of 5 yrs = $610 and with the uniform series factor, we obtain  F = 100(F/A, 10,5) = 100(6.10510) = $610

Sinking Fund Factor (Uniform Series)


What payment (A) is required to be paid periodically at (i%) to obtain an amount (F) after  (N) periods?

A = (F/A, i, N)                     
Since F = A((1 + i)N-1) / i ,  then  A = F        1            =    F( i /(1+i)N-1)
                                                              ( (1+i)N-1)/i

Finding the required annual deposit for the final $610.50 from above, yields :    A=$610.50(A/F,10,5)=                          $610.50(0.16380) = $100 / yr

Capital Recovery Factor (Uniform Series)


What payment (A) is required to be paid for (N) periods at (i%) to be equivalent to the amount (P) received now?
                     A = P(A/P,i ,N) = P(i+(1 + i)N) / ((1 + i)N-1)

Example :
A $1000 loan at 10% annually for 5 years requires what payment?

A = 1000(A/P,10,5) = 10(0.26380) = $263.80/year 

Total payment = (5) (263.80) = $1319

As opposed to $1610 one time payment at the end of  the loan. 

Why? Each payment lowers some of the original P on which interest is levied.

Series Present Worth Factor


What amount must be paid now (P) in order that at (i%), equal amounts (A) are received for (N) periods?
                  P = A(P/A, i, N) = A((1 + i)N-1) / (i(1 +i)N)
                                                   
Example: If we want $500/yr for maintenance of equipment for the next 5 years, what amount (P) should be deposited now at 10% annual compounding?

    P = 500( P/A, i, N) = 500(3.79079) = $1895

Arithmetic Gradient Conversion Factor

Sometimes the payment amount increases or decreases over time.

In order to analyze problems with this situation, a conversion of the increasing series must be made into a uniform payment prior to other analysis to P or F values.

First find AG = G(A/G,i,N)
Then find A= A' + AG  where A = Annualized payment
                                             A' = First payment
                                             G = Increase/Decrease in Annual payment.
Finally use A with  P/A to find P.

Or use : (P/G,i,N) = (A/G,i,N)(P/A,i,N) -->Tables without using A'.  

Note that: (A/G,i,N) = [(1+i)n -ni -1] / i [(1+i)n -1]
  
Example:  A beginning payment of $150, increasing by $50 per period at  i = 10% for 5 years is equivalent to what present & future amount? (Two alternatives are shown to obtain P) 

Alternate (1)
1st step
:   A = A' + AG
                   = 150 + G(A/G,i,N)
                   = 150 + 50(A/G,10,5)   
                   = 150 + 50(1.810)
                   =150 + 90.50 
                   = $240.50

2nd step :  P = A(P/A,i,N)
                   = 240.50(P/A,10,5) 
                   = 240.50(3.791)
                   = $911.74
     or

Alternate(2)      
     P = A'(P/A,i,N) + G(P/G,i,N)
        = 150(P/A,10,5) + 50(P/G,10,5)
        = 150(3.791) + 50(6.862)
        = 568.65 + 343.10 = $911.75   

Finally  F = P(F/P,i,N) = 911.75(F/P,10,5) = $1468.88

Remember : A' is the base payment from year1 to year N.
                   G is the increase (decrease) in payment starting in year 2 to year N.
                   AG is the uniform equivalence for the increasing /decreasing cash flow for years 1 to N.

Geometric Gradient Factor

If the interest in the payment is geometric (rising at constant %) each period, the following conversion to a present value is required :
         P = A1[ 1-((1+g)n (1+i)-n)] /(i - g)     where i is not equal to g and
                     
         where : A1 = First payment in series
                     g = % increase in payment/period 
                     i = interest rate/period
                     P = Present worth

If    i = g, then  P =A1 + [n / (i + 1)]

Example: A 401-K account makes 8% / yr  with a 10% withholding of annual salary deposited. Current pay is $40,000 annually with an expected 3% raise each year. How much money will you have in 20 years?

A1 = 40,000(0.10) = $4000,        g = 3%,             i = 8%
P = 4000[1-((1+0.03)20 (1+0.08)-20)] / [ 0.08-0.03]  =  $49,000.16

F = 49,000.16(F/P,8,20) = 49,000.16(4.6610)
    = $228,389.75

Manipulating Cash Flows & Equivalencies

Tailoring : Adding additional cash flows to create a uniform series which can be more easily handled with standard factors.

P = 200(P/A,5,6)-100(P/F,5,2)+50(P/F,5,4)-300(P/A,5,5)
P = 200(5.076)-100(0.9070)+50(0.8227)-300(0.7835)
P = $730.59
           
When using the brute force method (with P/F Factors), six separate factors would have been required. With tailoring we used only four factors. It's not too big of a deal here, but it could be a problem on  a 20-30  period cash flow.

Shifting : Use multiple equivalence transactions to gain final solution.
    
Step 1 :
                   
Find an equivalent present value at the end of year 7. We will call it P7. Remember the timeline can be shifted to use the (P/A) factor.
P7 = A(P/A,7,5) = 500(4.100)
    = $2050
Step 2 :
Let's now call P7 a future value F7
                 
P = 2050(P/F,7,7) = 2050(0.6227)
P = $1276.53

Remember P, F and A values can be anywhere on the timeline. However :
1) P is always before F and exactly one year before any A's.
2) F is always after P and on the same year as the last of a series of A's.

Final Fundamentals Review

In order to solve almost any problem, first find the pertinent information for the problem, namely the known values:
  P = ?; F = ?; i = ?; A =?; 
  G =?; g = ?;      --if used, also find A' or A
1
 N=? -- # of periods to match compounding frequency.

Next, eliminate unneeded values. Finally, determine the required or missing value.
Trust the equivalence factor to do their job!!

With the completion of this lesson, you have all the engineering economy fundamentals required to analyze almost any cash flow situation that will arise. Our next lessons will focus on making decisions with the aid of these fundamentals.
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