


A method for analyzing the desirability of public works projects, or
any other project where benefits and costs can be quantified.
Benefits (B) - Advantages to the owner (The owner may be the public)
Disbenefits (D) - Disadvantages to the owner when the project under
consideration is
implemented.
Costs (C) - Anticipated expenditures for construction,
Operation &Maintenance, etc.
B/C = Benefits-Disbenefits
Costs
If
B/C > 1.0 then the project is advantageous.
B,C and D must all
be in same dollar units --- PW, FAC or FW
Costs are not negative.
Modified B/C = Benefits-Disbenefits-M&O Costs
Initial
investments - Salvage
= Net Benefits
Net Cost
Examples of B/C components:
Benefits
Costs
Disbenefits
Reduced Accidents
Rebuilt highway
Less tow truck and hospital work
Electricity, irrigation
Building dam
Paying for flooded land. Lost use of land
Water,tourism.
Example: Suppose a tunnel is
proposed to be built to save travel time and road construction cost around a
mountain. In order to save on first cost, a twin tunnel system is proposed with
1/2 capacity in each shaft.
Construction = $3,000,000 --- Shaft 1 -- Now
$4,000,000 ---
Shaft 2 --Built in 20 years ( N = 20 )
Maintenance (Shaft lining) =
$160,000/Half -- every 10 years
Benefits = $260,000/yr N =
1-20
$300,000/yr N = 21-50
If i = 5% and
N=50yrs, is the project justified?
Solution
: 1st
cost PW = $3,000,000 + $4,000,000(P/F,5,20)
= $4,507,600
Relining cost PW =
$160,000(P/F,5,10+20) +
$320,000(P/F,5,30+40)
=
$160,000(0.9908) +
$320,000(0.3734)
=
$278,016
Note: (P/F,5,10 + 20) =
(P/F,5,10) + (P/F,5,20)
Benefits PW
= $260,000(P/A,5,20) +
$300,000(P/A,5,30)(P/F,5,20)
= $260,000(12.4622)
+
$300,000(15.3725)(0.3769)
=
$4,978,340
B/C
=
4,978,340 =
1.040
4,507,600 + 278,016
Modified
B/C = 4,978,340 - 278,016 =
1.042
4,507,600
The project is justified in either
case, since B/C >1.0
Note that if
the B/C ratio is greater than 1.0, the modified B/C will also be greater than
1.0
Example: What if $2,000,000 additional funds
are found to construct a full capacity tunnel now
for
$5,000,000?
Relining = $200,000 --- Every 10 years
Benefits = $300,000/year
However, to determine if this full capacity tunnel is a viable option, we now must
use an incremental B/C ratio to see if the additional investment is
justified.
1st cost (Full) PW =
$5,000,000
Relining (Full) PW =
$200,000(P/F,5,10+20+30+40) = $200,000(1.3642)
= $272,840
Benefits(Full) PW =
$300,000(P/A,5,50) =
$300,000(18.2559)
=
$5,476,770
Incremental
values :
Cost (Full- 1/2) =
$5,000,000 - $4,507,600 = $492,400
Maintenance(Full - 1/2) = $272,840 - $278,016 =
-$5176 (A reduction in cost is
negative)
Benefits(Full - 1/2) = $5,476,770 - $4.978,390 =
$498,430
B/C(Full
- 1/2) = 498,430 =
1.023>1.0
492,400 - 5176
Thus the incremental cost is justified
.Choose the full tunnel option.
What about B/C(Full)?
B/C(Full)
= 5,476,770 = 1.038 < 1.040 =
B/C(1/2)
5,272,840
This would appear to require the selection of the 1/2 tunnel option. However,B/C is not a
ranking value!
Why is this?
The B/C analysis is an incremental analysis, even with only one alternative
to consider. The increment is against the Do-nothing alternative.
An incremental analysis must always be used to
compare alternates when using a B/C ratio approach.
If only costs are given, a
reduction in costs can be used as benefits for the higher-cost option.
Example : A current
process costs $50,000/yr. N = 5 i =
10%
System
X 1st cost =
$10,000
Annual cost =
$45,000/yr
System
Y 1st cost =
$15,000
Annual cost = $42,000/yr
First, analyze the lowest initial cost
option.
PW Cost
(X-0) = $10,000 (0 =
Do-Nothing)
PW Benefits (X-0)
= (-45,000-(-50,000)) = 5000/yr *
(P/A,10,5) = $18,954
(Benefits are
a reduction
of
annual costs) B/C(X-0) = 18,954 =
1.89>1
OK
10,000
Next, analyze the incremental costs and benefits for the next higher initial
cost option.
Cost(Y-X) = $15,000-$10,000 =
$5000
Benefits(Y-X) = $8000-$5000 = $3000/year * (P/A,10,5) =
$11,372
The
current process B/C(Y-X) = 11,372 =
2.27>1
is OK
5000
The incremental
expense is justified and thus choose alternative Y.
The question begs to be asked, if we are using the PW or EAW of costs and benefits, why do we need to bother with calculating the B/C ratio of an option?
The reasons are simple:
1)The
public is not educated in the ways of engineering economics.
2)PW or EAW have no clear cut meaning to the public in terms of gauging
the relative merits of different options.
3)The B/C ratio gives a mental
barrier(1.0) that must be cleared to be acceptable.
Public
projects lend themselves to the B/C approach.
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20, 2002. Last updated: April 26, 2002. Web page design by Dan Solarek. |
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